Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 45%-50%?
ActiveLiquidity $13.2K·Volume $7,459·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,192
72h +$7,212
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy13h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$13.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,192, +$7,212 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $3,596 |
| 13h ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 13h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $3,596 |
| 1d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 9.9¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $29 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $65 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $62 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $54 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $36 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $28 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $2 |