Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $8,891·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$295
72h +$295
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:43(9% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 9% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$295, +$295 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43