Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 35%-40%?
ActiveLiquidity $225·Volume $2,422·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$282 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢97¢at 07:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$225
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $282 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $282 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $285 |