Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 12%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $11.3K·Volume $8,910·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$270 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢100¢at 07:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $270 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $270 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $271 |