Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $12.0K·Volume $6,889·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$330 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢99¢at 07:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$12.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $330 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $330 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $113 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $218 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $13 |
| 5w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $10 |