Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $147·Volume $4,603·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,138
72h +$2,138
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$147
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,138, +$2,138 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 10h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,064 |
| 10h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,064 |
| 10h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $402 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 48¢ | $31 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $16 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $24 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $35 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $13 |
| 5w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $28 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $16 |