Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%?
ActiveLiquidity $10.6K·Volume $12.9K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,749 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢100¢at 07:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,749 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,749 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 1.9¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $512 |
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $4,192 |