Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?
ResolvedLiquidity $11.6K·Volume $7,214·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,085
72h +$2,085
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:32(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,085, +$2,085 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,083 |
| 10h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,083 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $72 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $52 |
| 2w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 59¢ | $21 |
| 2w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 67¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 59¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 56¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 62¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 59¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $12 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $1 |