Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?
ActiveLiquidity $124·Volume $3,839·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No5%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$263 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢96¢at 07:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$124
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $263 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $263 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $28 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $17 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $222 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $14 |