Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 15%-20%?
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $5,329·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,226 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 07:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,226 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,226 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,063 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $13 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $121 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $35 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $31 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $25 |