Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
ActiveLiquidity $12.0K·Volume $8,678·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$883 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢100¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$12.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $883 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $883 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $244 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $1,098 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $3 |