Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 30% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $115·Volume $2,929·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$301 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 07:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$115
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $301 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $301 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $301 |
| 7w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 3.4¢ | $2 |