Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $2,049·Volume $2,895·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes95%No5%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$672 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$418
72h +$418
Smart money entered92¢98¢at 05:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$2,049
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $672 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $672 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$418, +$418 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x34ab…f1dbMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $423 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $259 |