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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $157·Volume $13.4K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes19%No81%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:32computed 1h ago
Thin smart-money data
Only $113 of qualifying stake from 1 wallet — too little to read a signal.
Explanation

Too little smart money is at stake here ($113) to read a signal — the consensus number only says the few wallets present lean the same way, not that they're confident.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6d agoG.HchenTopSellYes0.7¢$0
6d agoG.HchenTopSellYes1.1¢$1
1w agoshiifooMidBuyYes47¢$28
2w agomrworldwideTopSellYes62¢$425
2w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes64¢$64
2w agoshiifooMidBuyNo38¢$27
2w agoshiifooMidBuyYes31¢$6
2w agomrworldwideTopSellYes61¢$81
2w agoshiifooMidBuyYes44¢$9
3w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$1
3w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$25
3w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$14
3w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$17
3w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes55¢$7
3w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes55¢$8
5w agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyYes60¢$101
5w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$120
5w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$3
5w agoshiifooMidBuyNo40¢$2
6w agoshiifooMidBuyNo39¢$46
6w agoshiifooMidBuyNo39¢$2
6w agoshiifooMidBuyNo37¢$77
6w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopSellYes63¢$146
6w agomrworldwideTopBuyYes60¢$301
7w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyYes58¢$139