Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $2,162·Volume $3,619·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes94%No6%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$435 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$43
72h +$43
Smart money entered96¢95¢at 05:37(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$2,162
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $435 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $435 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$43, +$43 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x34ab…f1dbMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $44 |
| 4d ago | 0x34ab…f1dbMid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $398 |