Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 21% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $421·Volume $4,383·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes8%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$502 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢93¢at 07:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$421
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $502 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $502 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $482 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $92 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $27 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 8.5¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $80 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |