Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $93·Volume $4,747·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$645 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,035
Smart money entered75¢97¢at 07:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$93
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $645 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $645 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,035 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $517 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $517 |
| 1w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $122 |