Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 0%-5%?
ActiveLiquidity $9·Volume $165·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$148 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$10
72h +$314
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 07:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy20h agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$9
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $148 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $148 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$10, +$314 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $148 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $148 |