Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $215·Volume $8,047·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes95%No5%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$324 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢95¢at 07:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$215
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $324 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $324 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:35