Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $18.5K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes85%No15%
Smart money leans
Yes
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
80%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,138 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,402
72h +$2,402
Smart money entered81¢85¢at 11:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Yes", with $1,138 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,138 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,402, +$2,402 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $812 |
| 5h ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $812 |
| 21h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 11¢ | $9 |
| 21h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 11¢ | $9 |
| 22h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $31 |
| 22h ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $328 |
| 22h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $31 |
| 22h ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $326 |
| 22h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $20 |
| 22h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $20 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $17 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $17 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $17 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $19 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $19 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 15¢ | $57 |
| 23h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 15¢ | $57 |