Will the New Orleans Saints have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
ActiveLiquidity $1,131·Volume $2,002·Ends Feb 16, 2027
Price now:Yes28%No73%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$298 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered67¢73¢at 05:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 95d(Feb 16, 2027)Liquidity$1,131
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $298 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $298 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $85 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $35 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $55 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $244 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $118 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $14 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $12 |