Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $2,100·Volume $20.2K·Ends Jan 11, 2027
Price now:Yes80%No21%
Smart money leans
Yes
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$637 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered63¢80¢at 07:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 61d(Jan 11, 2027)Liquidity$2,100
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $637 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 63¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $637 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $480 |
| 6d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $16 |
| 6d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $598 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $561 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 21¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |