Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $1,821·Volume $22.2K·Ends Jan 11, 2027
Price now:Yes64%No36%
Smart money leans
Yes
64% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
64%price64%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,488 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered60¢64¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 61d(Jan 11, 2027)Liquidity$1,821
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,488 riding on it.
The price of 64% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 64¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,488 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $54 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $437 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $1,842 |