Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $2,746·Volume $10.6K·Ends Jan 11, 2027
Price now:Yes68%No32%
Smart money leans
Yes
64% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
64%price64%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$336 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,740
72h +$1,740
Smart money entered23¢64¢at 11:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 61d(Jan 11, 2027)Liquidity$2,746
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $336 riding on it.
The price of 64% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 23¢; the price was 64¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $336 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,740, +$1,740 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $313 |
| 10h ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $313 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $455 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $110 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $30 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $54 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $135 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $459 |
| 5w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $35 |