Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $2,182·Volume $11.7K·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,382 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$95
72h -$276
Smart money entered76¢95¢at 11:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$2,182
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,382 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,382 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$95, -$276 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:49