Will the Indianapolis Colts have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
ActiveLiquidity $3,328·Volume $4,003·Ends Feb 16, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$412 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered58¢97¢at 05:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 95d(Feb 16, 2027)Liquidity$3,328
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $412 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $412 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $32 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $65 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $29 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $59 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 58¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 58¢ | $406 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 58¢ | $178 |