Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
ActiveLiquidity $2,523·Volume $36.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes64%No36%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:41Smart money exiting · $318 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
64% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
64%price63%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,262 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$318
72h -$250
Smart money entered45¢64¢at 07:41Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,523
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,262 riding on it.
The price of 64% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 64¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $1,262 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$318, -$250 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:41