Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
ActiveLiquidity $1,372·Volume $28.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes33%No67%
Smart money leans
Yes
33% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
33%price33%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$82 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$301
Smart money entered13¢33¢at 07:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,372
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $82 riding on it.
The price of 33% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 13¢; the price was 33¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $82 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$301 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:47