Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $1,153·Volume $5,353·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes19%No81%
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$405 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered59¢80¢at 11:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$1,153
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $405 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $405 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $29 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $1,111 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $1,145 |