Will the Democrats win Michigan in the 2028 Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $68.4K·Volume $6,828·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes69%No32%
Smart money leans
Yes
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,294 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered66¢69¢at 07:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$68.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,294 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,294 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $2,326 |
| 3d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $4 |