Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
ActiveLiquidity $10.9K·Volume $13.5K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,399 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered36¢99¢at 07:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.9K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,399 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 36¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $321 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $42 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $32 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $32 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $30 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $184 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 44¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $404 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $125 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $37 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $63 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $32 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $29 |
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $404 |
| 2w ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $75 |
| 2w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $9 |
| 8w ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $12 |