Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $110·Volume $11.2K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes55%No45%
Smart money leans
Yes
55% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$557 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered23¢55¢at 07:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$110
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $557 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 23¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $557 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $60 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $22 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $32 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $61 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $8 |