Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $21·Volume $7,794·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$430
72h +$430
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:11(2% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$21
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 2% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$430, +$430 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $430 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $204 |
| 1w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $172 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $243 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $211 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $60 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $8 |
| 5w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $74 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $76 |