Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $13.8K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,498 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢97¢at 07:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,498 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $652 |
| 6d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $451 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $78 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $252 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 30¢ | $56 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $390 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 40¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $731 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $14 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | Yes | 64¢ | $44 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $42 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $17 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $8 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $39 |
| 7w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $56 |