Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?
ActiveLiquidity $11.9K·Volume $17.1K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$674 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢99¢at 06:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $674 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $674 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $148 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $37 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $49 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $575 |