Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 70%-75%?
ActiveLiquidity $2,202·Volume $2,353·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Thin smart-money data
Only $54 of qualifying stake from 1 wallet — too little to read a signal.
Explanation
Too little smart money is at stake here ($54) to read a signal — the consensus number only says the few wallets present lean the same way, not that they're confident.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $33 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $33 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $17 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 82¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 82¢ | $25 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $25 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $15 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $11 |