Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 25% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $2,625·Volume $2,550·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,560 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 07:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$2,625
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,560 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,560 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:36