Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $16.5K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,063 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered74¢100¢at 07:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$12.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,063 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,063 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Sell | No | 100¢ | $66 |
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 74¢ | $3,112 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 82¢ | $103 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $91 |