Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 15%-20%?
ActiveLiquidity $23·Volume $8,821·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes59%No42%
Smart money leans
Yes
53% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
53%price53%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$328 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered57¢53¢at 07:26(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$23
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $328 riding on it.
The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $328 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26