Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 50%-55%?
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $7,492·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$346 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢97¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $346 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $346 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $169 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $55 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $35 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $14 |
| 6w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 73¢ | $186 |
| 7w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $40 |
| 7w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $138 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $167 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $10 |