Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $87·Volume $12.7K·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes79%No22%
Smart money leans
Yes
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$512 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢79¢at 07:17(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$87
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $512 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $512 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $13 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $14 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $13 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $387 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $187 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $73 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $658 |
| 3w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $50 |