Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $10.5K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,717 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢99¢at 07:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,717 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,717 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 1.9¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $4,717 |