Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $12.0K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$525 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered55¢98¢at 07:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $525 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $525 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $454 |
| 1w ago | 0x04fbd55b0626ADd23661c448710a0194fcd25968-1789564287540Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $246 |
| 1w ago | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $102 |