Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?
ActiveLiquidity $35·Volume $16.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes92%No8%
Smart money leans
Yes
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$375 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered54¢93¢at 07:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$35
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $375 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $375 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32