Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $301·Volume $12.9K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$856 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered45¢96¢at 07:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$301
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $856 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $856 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:25