Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $1,466·Volume $15.7K·Ends Dec 18, 2026
Price now:Yes54%No46%
Smart money leans
No
46% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
85%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$374 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$394
72h +$394
Smart money entered43¢46¢at 17:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 36d(Dec 18, 2026)Liquidity$1,466
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $374 riding on it.
The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $374 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$394, +$394 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $374 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 64¢ | $613 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $657 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $3 |