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Will La Bola Negra win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

ActiveLiquidity $9,826·Volume $31.4K·Ends Mar 14, 2027
Price now:Yes82%No18%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:47computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
82% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,100 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢82¢at 11:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 123d(Mar 14, 2027)Liquidity$9,826
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,100 riding on it.

The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,100 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:47
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
7w agoSagandMidBuyYes75¢$506
7w agoSagandMidBuyYes70¢$609