Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $1,206·Volume $9,635·Ends Mar 19, 2027
Price now:Yes62%No39%
Smart money leans
Yes
62% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
62%price62%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$429 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered46¢62¢at 11:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 128d(Mar 19, 2027)Liquidity$1,206
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $429 riding on it.
The price of 62% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 62¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $429 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $472 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $59 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |