Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $857·Volume $2,306·Ends Feb 25, 2027
Price now:Yes64%No37%
Smart money leans
Yes
64% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
64%price64%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$384 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$13
Smart money entered38¢64¢at 11:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 106d(Feb 25, 2027)Liquidity$857
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $384 riding on it.
The price of 64% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 38¢; the price was 64¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $384 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$13 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $14 |
| 3d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $48 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $477 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $0 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $26 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $63 |