Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the March interest rate announcement?
ActiveLiquidity $1,037·Volume $7,890·Ends Mar 3, 2027
Price now:Yes70%No30%
Smart money leans
Yes
70% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
70%price70%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$606 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,891
Smart money entered45¢70¢at 11:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 112d(Mar 3, 2027)Liquidity$1,037
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $606 riding on it.
The price of 70% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 70¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $606 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,891 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $623 |
| 1d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $607 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 56¢ | $594 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $349 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $511 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $58 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $108 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $509 |